Posts Tagged ‘cash for clunkers’

Cash for Clunkers, A True Success?! – A look back – Final Part

Last week, we looked back the Cash for Clunkers program weighing it on 3 different areas like,  economy impact, consumers view and environmental aspect. This week we flip the coin to look on the other side which adds lot of hurt feelings from many organizations including nonprofits.



Non-Profit’s Loss


Many Nonprofit organizations raise fund for their programs through car donations. They accept old clunkers, repair them with help of their volunteers and sell them to the low income people for reasonable price to make extra cash. These organizations share some mixed feelings about this program. Philanthropy.org reported, Cheryl Rios of Texas Can, a Dallas nonprofit organization that serves troubled kids, estimated the organization has lost $75,000 due to a reduction in car and truck donations.

Similarly,  Point Richmond’s Vehicle Donation to Any Charity has seen a 20 percent drop in donations reported on sfgate.com. A big dent in the $3 million the company usually raises from reselling donated old cars and distributes annually among 4,500 charities nationwide.  Car Talk donation which turns over its share to National Public Radio also hurt by this program. 

Car dealers Struggle


Old auto dealers got to make a living by selling the clunkers. They sell to lower middle class people with lower income who doesn’t have real credit depend on them dealers who sell cars for cash and personal credit. This program means fewer clunkers, and  possibly less cash for these dealers another story reported in Houston Chronicle.


About 750,000 cars removed from the market and sent to junk yard. That accounts for a 2 percent reduction in overall supply, which may create a bubble in used-car prices, according to Kelley Blue Book, which tracks car values. “It’s going to take some of the inventory away from people who sell basic transportation for lower income people.”“It will cause the price of our inventory to go up,” according to a old car dealer in Houston. The sort of increase can make a big difference for his customers, most of whom have an average individual income of less than $25,000 a year.


Many old auto car lots are often called as “note lot.” Note lot dealers pick through trade-ins that new-car dealers don’t want to sell. They repair them, clean them up and resell them at a markup to subprime buyers, who often pay a steep interest rate — as much as 20 percent — because of past credit problems.


“There’s still people who need these cars,” he said. “They need a ‘clunker.’?” The program puts an unfair burden on low-income car buyers, many of whom need inexpensive vehicles to get to work.


Repair Shops worry


The vehicles being mashed by government decree still have value, both as a whole and as parts. According to a repair shops, the clunker program could affect non-clunker repairs, too, by driving up the cost of parts.“The long-term implications are the shortage of good used parts. When you crush a car, you take away a lot of parts that have no effect on fuel economy.” That includes body parts and engine components such as alternators and starters. Used parts, like used cars, tend to appeal to lower-income customers who can’t afford new ones.


It is unneeded hardship as per many auto shop owners. In this economy, increasing the hardship on people struggling the most, those clinging to their jobs and stretching their budgets, isn’t a stimulus.


Dealers Frustration


Even dealers who celebrated this summer with great sales through this program have few things to say. It  was overly complicated, a nightmare to manage for dealers and difficult to understand for consumers. Many dealers worried about getting their money back from government and stopped offering this program. Small dealears funds got strapped when government took its own time to process the reimbursements churing lot of frustration. 



Was the cash-for-clunkers program a true success?


Short answer is Yes and No. With some creative marketing and dealing, dealers were evidently able to  convert many nonqualifying shoppers into the buyers of other new or used cars, a trend that created a sizable positive impact on sales as an indirect consequence of the program. Consumer spending edged up 0.2 percent in July with help of this program to boost the economy.


Many call it as more of a political stunt, psychologically satisfying but not economically meaningful. It’s been good for new-car dealers and the automakers, it’s tweaked the overall economy, and it may even help the environment a tad, but there were many hidden losers gone unnoticed by the government.  If we all can maintain our cars like the young lady tin this video, we don’t even have to create programs like this one. Don’t you think?


Sources – chron.com, sfgate.com, npr.org

Cash for Clunkers, Is it Runaway Success?! – A look back – Part I

While the Obama administration and auto dealers are claiming a runaway success of the 3 week’s Cash for Clunkers program, there are lot of things went wrong on the side lines.  This program lasted only a short time, but it apparently will have a long-lasting negative impact on nonprofit organizations and businesses. The program should be evaluated so that similar programs in the future can be more effective.

As usual, I picked my magnifying glasses to look closer and research deep enough on various areas to  identify were all this program created the spark. Just a take ride along with me for quick look back. In my previous post on the same topic, I questioned the credibility of this program on 3 main context like whether it is helping consumer, economy or environment as it promised. Let me address those points again with more facts and figures and in my next post share some more interesting stories.

Economic Sense

Let us take a look at some final numbers released on CARS.gov by the government,

Dealer Transactions
Number Submitted: 690,114
Cars sold: Around 700,000
Dollar Value: $2,877.9M


Top  5 New Vehicles Purchased


Toyota Corolla
Honda Civic
Toyota Camry
Ford Focus FWD
Hyundai Elantra

The program accomplished what it was set out to do, which was to get consumers back into the showrooms and to jump-start new-vehicle sales. It also created lot of buzz around nation on spending with expense of 1 billion tax payers dollars set out by the congress. The funds was reloaded with another 2 billions again. It is all well and good but does it really had an economic impact is the major debate. When the foreign car companies like Toyato, Hyundai and KIA topping the list in sales, how it actually made an effect in US economy is many people question.

Spending 3 billion dollars in 3 weeks to replace 700,000 cars in the road cannot be considered as proper measurement to evaluate the success of this program. Yes, it did create a short spike in the consumer spending and had an impact but it just short-lived. According to an analyst, if we assume an average selling price of $25,000 for the program, and total unit sales of 700,000, the cash-for-clunkers program generated at least $17.5 billion of economic activity, not including incremental sales of additional products, such as extended warranties, alarm systems and financing revenue for the dealerships — as well as roughly $875 million in sales-tax revenue for state governments.  That’s a pretty good return on $2.6 billion in government spending.

When we add in the fiscal multiplier effect, the net impact of the program was easily north of $25 billion — if not much higher.  Motor vehicle sales in the U.S. account for more than 18% of total retail sales. NADA estimates that dealers generate in excess of $20 billion in annual sales tax revenue from the sale of vehicles. This revenue is an important part of the budgets for state and local governments across the country.

What’s more, the sales represent only a portion of the economic impact. Ford, for example, announced that it is increasing production of some models. GM brought back around 1300 workers to start production on its new car models. However, the impact has a short life expectancy and once the program is over, the impact is pretty much over as well.

Of course, it’s possible that car sales will simply revert to their pre-Cash for Clunkers numbers in September. But that won’t mean the program was a failure. Fiscal stimulus is supposed to be a bridge between a period when people aren’t spending to a more prosperous future, when, with a growing economy and (presumably) an improving job market, people will start spending more on their own, without special inducements. So it will be the next challenge for auto manufacturers and dealers to take this momentum and convert into the actual sales in future months to come. 

Consumers Aspect

I argue this program is actually putting many consumers into debt by tempting them to buy newer cars when they don’t have job and cannot afford to spend for big purchases at the first place. But auto dealers have a different point. Let see.


Average Fuel Economy


New vehicles Mileage: 24.9 MPG
Trade-in Mileage: 15.8 MPG
Overall increase: 9.2 MPG, or a 58% improvement


According to stats from automotive dealers on the CARS Program shows clunker consumers getting a 69% mile-per-gallon (mpg) improvement which saves them an average of $750 in gas bills a year by replacing their clunker with a new fuel efficient vehicle. “After gas and repair savings many consumers will spend less to drive a new car then they were spending to keep their clunker on the road,” says Sharon O’Connell, the director of www.CashForClunkersInformation.org. The program worked far better than anyone anticipated at moving consumers out of old, dirty trucks and SUVs and into new more fuel-efficient cars.


Many of those auto purchasers were already in the market for a car, according to the anlalyst. And it’s possible that the incentives have just lured people who would have bought cars later this year into the showrooms earlier–thus stealing sales from future months. The real measure of the effectiveness of the program would be the degree to which it caused people who weren’t even thinking about buying a car to take the plunge.

Based on the types of cars being purchased and his assessment of purchasers, NADA economist Taylor believes that as many as 40 percent of the cars purchased under Cash for Clunkers were bought by people who would not have bought a new car in this calendar year. For a significant number of buyers, he argues, the rebates of $3,500 or $4,500–depending on the car purchased after the trade-in–changed the calculation of whether it made sense to purchase a new car.

My argument on adding consumer debt through this program still holds true and strong. How? As per the analyst, 40% of the people who never even thought about buying a car bought one just because they are getting the credit. I am sure around 80% of them bought via financing adding to their debt. May be they saved up some money and will eventualy save lot more in the long run on gas and auto repair expenses. Still whether they really need this debt at this troubled times is the another big question. Government is suppose to help make people life easier not pile more debts on them!!

In a climate where people are buying school supplies on layaway many consumers need some extra prodding to make large purchases. In August, the Cash for Clunkers program clearly provided the necessary encouragement and I should push for a large number of consumers to buy a car which they could have avoided. We are still going towards spending economy instead of saving.


Enviromental Impact


The last and most important of all, enviromental impact of this program. It is the major push for this program to even get implemented at the first place. They wanted to reduce carbon residues and emission by taking out old cars/ gas guzzlers from the road. But many experts argued it is not going help much because it takes 5-7 years to just offset the carbon residue created by the new cars by their gas savings. Let look at the CARS.gov numbers again.


Vehicles Purchased by Category


Passenger Cars: 404,046
Category 1 Truck: 231,651


Vehicle Trade-in by Category


Passenger Cars: 109,380
Category 1 Truck: 450,778

If congress pushed for greener vehicles, they should have limited this program to purchase only cars with better mileage. You see the figure, around 40% Category Truck(SUV, minivan, trucks) are sold again which are true gas guzzlers even with 22 mpg and around 90% traded-in are trucks. Basically, lot people just traded-in their older truck and got a new similar kinda of toy. That’s what it means. Lets look at some more interesting points I discovered.

According to NADA , as of June 30, 2008, there were about 250 million vehicles in operation. This program only replaced 700,000 cars, which is just 3% of vehicles with little energy efficient ones. The impact is merely a fraction compared to the overall numbers.

Another report by CTA (Center for Transportation Analysis),


Carbon dioxide emissions  emitted by United States  accounts for 5,982 million metric tonnes in 2005. Transportation share of U.S. carbon dioxide emissions from fossil fuel consumption 2007  – 33.6%


Motor gasoline share of transportation carbon dioxide emissions  – 58.6%


The U.S. accounted for 23.5% of the World’s carbon dioxide emissions in 1990 and 21.3% in 2005. Nearly half (44%) of the U.S. carbon emissions are from oil use. The numbers tells us lot of things. Just by replacing fractional number of vehicles won’t have a big impact on the carbon emission.

This program only affects a small portion of economy thorough auto industry by spiking the auto sales, added debt to consumers and only had fractional impact on enviroment. Is it a true success? I know some will argue, you cannot bring a big change all of sudden, changes can only be enacted slowly. But spending 3 billions for small impact is a costly affair. There should be a program which has broader impact similar to banning incandescent lights by 2012, controlling emissions from factories and so forth.

In my next week continuation post on this topic, I will share more on how this program caused uproar and upset many non-profit organizations, small auto sales companies and auto repair businesses by looking at another side of the coin.


Sources – newsweek.com, time.com, nada.com, cta.org, npr.org

Cash for Clunkers Program – Is it really helping?

Recent days, I see one among three cars on the road are either new or almost new, waiting to get their new license plate. Thanks to the CARS program putting more fuel efficient cars on the road taking out gas guzzlers but no thanks. It seems to be the talk of all news channels and the most popular stimulus package of all in recent months. 

It has become so popular, it even ran out money so fast in couple of weeks of its announcement and waiting for approval to get more funds almost two billion to jump start again. While it is on hold in process to get more money, we take time to analyze,

Is the program really helps the consumer, economy and enviroment as it supposed to?

It  is a $64 question. I tried to do my investigation as usual from many information loaded internet websites.

Quick Overview of CARS program
Cash for Clunkers program also known as  The CAR Allowance Rebate System (CARS) is a $1 billion government program that helps consumers buy or lease a more environmentally-friendly vehicle from a participating dealer when they trade in a less fuel-efficient car or truck. The program is designed to energize the economy; boost auto sales and put safer, cleaner and more fuel-efficient vehicles on the nation’s roadways. 


Is it helping the consumer?

Answer to the question is, Yes and No. Consumers will be able to take advantage of this program and receive a $3,500 or $4,500 discount from the car dealer when they trade in their old vehicle and purchase or lease a new one. Consumers do not need to register anywhere or at anytime for this program. However, to find out eligibility requirements click here and also check another website http://www.cashforclunkersfacts.com/ for more info on this program.


By giving the cash credit to auto buyers while trading in their gas guzzlers, it is free money and helps the consumer. But it is again putting the consumer to debt and adding their debt load. Many consumers who can’t even afford to buy a new car at tough time. They just want to get the cash credit and blinding buying without realizing they need to pay back the rest of their auto loan which not even tax deductabile.  It was similar to the situation people bought big houses when they can’t afford mortgage payment. It not helping any middle class who are suffering from loss of jobs instead adding their burden by teasing them with free money.

So please don’t go rushing to get a new car if you can’t even afford to make car payments says Houston chronicle sharon buggs. She also says, if you can pay all cash for the vehicle after the cash credit and other incentives are applied, then you can afford to buy a new car. Also if your take-home pay can absorb a monthly car payment — and you are not in jeopardy for losing your income stream because of a layoff — then you can afford to finance the purchase of a new car. Check out some tips from her at Houston chronicle.


Is it atleast guzzling the economy?

Not really. It is only helping one industry which is Auto. It is also in a way boosting customer confidence with money flowing between consumer, banks and manufacturers. Thats a good thing. Banks and Auto dealers are writing off loans and loosening the credit crunch a bit.

It sure helping auto makers like Ford, Toyota who is selling more cars compared to last year. The program helped lift Ford Motor Co. to its first monthly sales increase in two years, the company’s top sales analyst said Sunday.  July sales results mark the first year-over-year gain for Ford since November 2007 and apparently the first uptick by any of the six biggest carmakers since last August, Ford sales analyst George Pipas said. Check npr.org for more info.



OK! What about reducing carbon residues?

Not exactly! I know it is meant to take out gas guzzlers out of the road help which eventually help reduce gas consumption but it doesn’t affect lot on reducing carbon residue. According to npr’s report, an analyst calculates that if you trade in an 18 mpg clunker for a 22 mpg new car (22 miles per gallon is the minimum mileage allowed for a new car under the program), it would take five and a half years of typical driving to offset the new car’s carbon footprint. With trucks, it might take eight or nine years.

Of course, the bigger the mileage improvement from your old car to the new one, the more gas you save and the faster you work off the new car’s carbon footprint. If you trade in a 20 mpg car for a Prius that gets about 48 mpg, it saves so much gas that you can offset the Prius’ footprint in about a year and a half. (But a 20 mpg car doesn’t qualify as a clunker, so there’s no government voucher). 

Analyst don’t see a direct or immediate impact on the reduction of carbon residues by this program but it does help in the long run.  It also takes whole lot of cars to be taken out of the road to really make a difference. Check out another npr.org report,  “Clunkers” program isn’t really green.


Bottom line, in all aspect, I don’t see a real value to this CARS program. Also is it worth saying the program is success just by merely from the billions running out? It neither nurtures the consumer personal finance status nor the environment. I only has shorter impact to the economy especially to auto industry. At this time of recession, when the unemployment rate is very high and people are struggling to feed their family, we need better program with greater impact. This program only helps smaller portion of people who either has good job or good bank account or credit to spend for their new car. 

Thats my take and I am sticking to it.

Photo source: http://www.cristyli.com/